Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.000164 0.000183 0.000204 0.000227 0.000254 0.000282 0.000315
2025-07-13 0.000134 0.000159 0.000189 0.000224 0.000266 0.000314 0.000373
2025-07-20 0.000116 0.000147 0.000183 0.000229 0.000286 0.000356 0.000446
2025-07-27 0.000102 0.000134 0.000175 0.000230 0.000301 0.000392 0.000514
2025-08-03 0.000089 0.000123 0.000168 0.000230 0.000314 0.000426 0.000583
2025-08-10 0.000079 0.000113 0.000160 0.000227 0.000323 0.000453 0.000645
2025-08-17 0.000071 0.000106 0.000155 0.000229 0.000336 0.000488 0.000719
2025-08-24 0.000064 0.000098 0.000148 0.000226 0.000343 0.000514 0.000781
2025-08-31 0.000058 0.000092 0.000143 0.000225 0.000352 0.000543 0.000850
2025-09-07 0.000053 0.000087 0.000139 0.000225 0.000362 0.000574 0.000924
2025-09-14 0.000048 0.000081 0.000134 0.000223 0.000368 0.000599 0.000990
2025-09-21 0.000045 0.000079 0.000132 0.000226 0.000384 0.000639 0.001083
2025-09-28 0.000042 0.000075 0.000130 0.000227 0.000396 0.000676 0.001175
2025-10-05 0.000039 0.000071 0.000125 0.000225 0.000403 0.000704 0.001255
2025-10-12 0.000037 0.000069 0.000125 0.000231 0.000423 0.000757 0.001381
2025-10-19 0.000034 0.000066 0.000123 0.000233 0.000436 0.000797 0.001489
2025-10-26 0.000032 0.000063 0.000121 0.000233 0.000447 0.000835 0.001594
2025-11-02 0.000030 0.000060 0.000117 0.000231 0.000452 0.000862 0.001681
2025-11-09 0.000028 0.000058 0.000115 0.000232 0.000465 0.000905 0.001801
2025-11-16 0.000026 0.000055 0.000111 0.000229 0.000469 0.000931 0.001890
2025-11-23 0.000024 0.000052 0.000109 0.000228 0.000476 0.000963 0.001994
2025-11-30 0.000023 0.000050 0.000106 0.000228 0.000485 0.001001 0.002111
2025-12-07 0.000021 0.000048 0.000103 0.000226 0.000490 0.001029 0.002211